Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 246.777216 278.187637 313.018779 354.677865 403.370045 458.749738 526.881711
2025-05-18 195.302163 235.508627 284.003950 347.464751 429.297954 532.626721 675.167775
2025-05-25 173.486411 218.939901 277.012500 357.979150 470.108560 623.243127 854.200648
2025-06-01 154.193318 201.421576 264.482205 356.873404 492.342663 689.651048 1010.551883
2025-06-08 137.672074 184.906031 250.273872 350.048851 503.541473 739.806414 1150.488130
2025-06-15 126.524772 174.229531 242.423941 350.502009 524.388418 806.490131 1329.651559
2025-06-22 115.152931 161.873610 230.485398 342.722668 530.346612 848.958642 1474.811046
2025-06-29 107.126217 153.565740 223.541232 341.561447 546.377833 910.329741 1668.197941
2025-07-06 97.336799 141.666019 209.814080 327.550822 538.058329 926.087462 1773.854647
2025-07-13 94.384439 140.033783 212.024332 340.305442 578.733176 1040.008494 2115.147644
2025-07-20 91.980056 138.999055 214.992477 354.542987 624.025279 1171.289018 2534.406555
2025-07-27 87.369145 133.975063 210.792661 355.322895 643.270689 1252.022126 2856.015376
2025-08-03 81.349621 126.301676 201.642093 346.380767 642.662381 1291.567516 3089.725319
2025-08-10 76.195156 119.736415 193.914086 339.375756 645.261918 1339.448709 3364.962602
2025-08-17 74.128760 118.272918 195.045984 349.588799 686.034494 1485.858237 3985.909600
2025-08-24 70.626621 114.039661 190.781711 348.514836 701.621707 1573.486494 4459.934325
2025-08-31 66.686672 108.760005 184.158760 341.885935 703.485251 1626.029010 4838.710460
2025-09-07 63.985408 105.517673 181.088552 342.326128 722.046521 1727.759049 5442.688487
2025-09-14 60.521536 100.668459 174.590324 334.768827 720.099286 1771.671557 5847.093627
2025-09-21 58.076178 97.544732 171.200476 333.640652 734.066488 1865.462894 6506.431830
2025-09-28 54.406058 91.933307 162.553976 320.026729 714.217751 1852.865286 6698.118510
2025-10-05 53.805406 92.058386 165.302248 332.420363 764.484591 2072.530773 8099.852493
2025-10-12 53.342914 92.408768 168.518024 346.251326 821.166892 2330.760721 9904.241461